Vegas Play of the Day: West Virginia at TCU

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ASSOCIATED PRESS

West Virginia running back Wendell Smallwood (4) West Virginia quarterback Skyler Howard (3) during the first half/ second half of a NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 26, 2015, in Morgantown, W.Va.

Thu, Oct 29, 2015 (2 a.m.)

We've reset the Play of the Day with fresh bankrolls and turned it into a yearly competition. Our three sports writers have re-started with $10,000 bankrolls to continue using on odds from the South Point.

West Virginia plus-13 at TCU: $330 to win $300

I guess I should have written this Play of the Day last night, as West Virginia was available at plus-14.5. I would have made a much larger wager, but as it stands, there’s still enough value on the Mountaineers to entice me.

It would be easy to write off West Virginia with its three-game losing streak, but look at the competition — Baylor, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma. The Mountaineers also showed flashes in each of the contests, including losing in overtime to the Cowboys.

Forget about the 3-3 record; there’s no doubt this is the best team TCU has played this season. The Horned Frogs are finally going to encounter a defense they can’t simply walk over with the Mountaineers ranking No. 24 on that side of the ball by Football Outsiders’ S&P metric.

Nick Kwiatkoski and Shaq Petteway compromise one of the Big 12’s best pair of linebackers. They were part of a core that led TCU throughout most of the game last year until a last-second field goal allowed the Horned Frogs to escape Morgantown, W.V., 31-30.

There’s reason to expect a similarly close outcome tonight.

Current Standings (as of July 1): Brewer (20-15, $11,320), Bern (13-15, $9,600), Keefer (12-25-2, $4,561)

Lifetime standings: 2014-15 Champion Bern (94-88-1), Brewer (89-102-2), Keefer (96-109-4)

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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