We’ve entered the fourth season of the annual South Point-lined Play of the Day competition, effective July 1.
Starting bankrolls have reset to $10,000, with the maximum bet being to win $1,000 and the minimum wager $300. Ray Brewer won back-to-back titles in the 2015-16 and 2016-17 seasons, after Taylor Bern prevailed in 2014-15.
Colorado Avalanche plus-160 at Saint Louis Blues: $300 to win $480
It’s fairly obvious which NHL team has proven the most profitable bet in the league this season — the Golden Knights, of course. But the Avalanche are a close second, as a bettor would be up $1,400 if he or she placed $100 wager on Colorado in every game.
They’ve been such money-makers because lines like this subsist. The Avalanche deserve to be an underdog at the Scottrade Center tonight; they don’t deserve to be nearly this big of an underdog.
By almost any metric, St. Louis and Colorado are evenly matched. Colorado’s scoring margin is actually a pair of goals better than that of St. Louis, despite having played three fewer games.
But no matter how often the Avalanche prove they’re a competitive group this season, skepticism prevails. That leaves lines like this, where St. Louis is a minus-180 favorite where it shouldn’t be any more than minus-140.
Colorado’s chances to win should fall somewhere around 45 percent tonight, yet the line implies only a 37 percent chance. That’s about as big of an overlay as a bettor can expect to find on the NHL.
With odds like that, the Avalanche might not be done delivering cash in the sports books yet.
Current Standings: Granger (15-12, $12,459), Brewer (23-20, $10,190), Keefer (21-20-1, $9,726), Grimala (9-18, $3,515)