Week 12 NFL picks and best bets for the Sun’s handicapping contest

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D. Ross Cameron / Associated Press

Oakland Raiders running back Josh Jacobs runs with the ball past Cincinnati Bengals linebacker Germaine Pratt (57) during the first half of an NFL football game in Oakland, Calif., Sunday, Nov. 17, 2019.

Sun, Nov 24, 2019 (2 a.m.)

The greatest run in the eight-year history of the Sun's NFL handicapping contest is upon us. Ray Brewer has hit 12 straight games, going undefeated in each of the last two weeks.

That surpasses an 11-0-1 two-week heater from Taylor Bern in the inaugural year as the best stretch of all-time. The format has changed since then, arguably making Brewer's streak even more impressive.

Totals are no longer eligible as the contest now uses the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook's Supercontest lines. The four competing sports writers are required to pick six games per week, including a two-point best bet.

Read below for all of this week's picks and best bets.

Ray Brewer

Points: 45.5 (38-27-1)

Dolphins plus-10.5 at Browns

Titans minus-3 vs. Jaguars

Bills minus-4 vs. Broncos

Giants plus-6 at Bears

Eagles minus-2 vs. Seahawks

Two-point best bet: Rams plus-3 vs. Ravens. The Rams' defensive line, led by the best defender in football, Aaron Donald, will have a chance to contain Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. Although the Rams' offense ranks in the middle of the NFL in most categories, it still can be elite. Remember last year's high-scoring attack? Not to mention that it is a great spot for Los Angeles on Monday Night Football against a team traveling three time zones for the game.

Case Keefer

Points: 43 (37-29)

Buccaneers plus-4.5 at Falcons

Patriots minus-6.5 vs. Cowboys

49ers minus-3.5 vs. Packers

Eagles minus-2 vs. Seahawks

Rams plus-3 vs. Ravens

Two-point best bet: Jets plus-3 vs. Raiders. This is more or less my best bet by default, as every other side I really like is saddled with a bad number in the contest lines. That's fine, though, as the Jets' run defense presents such a major plus matchup.

Justin Emerson

Points: 39.5 (31-34-1)

Dolphins plus-10.5 at Browns

Bills minus-4 vs. Broncos

Giants plus-6 at Bears

Packers plus-3.5 at 49ers

Ravens minus-3 vs. Rams

Two-point best bet: Raiders minus-3 vs. Jets. We as a community all need to prepare for the possibility of a Raiders playoff run the year before they come to Las Vegas, raising expectations before next season's 6-10 finish. But the Raiders have been legitimately good this year behind Derek Carr's best season and a Josh Jacobs run at Rookie of the Year. This is a good test to show they're for real, because a playoff team wouldn't fail to cover against the Jets.

Mike Grimala

Points: 32.5 (25-39-2)

Dolphins plus-10.5 at Browns

Bills minus-4 vs. Broncos

Buccaneers plus-4.5 at Falcons

Lions minus-3.5 at Redskins

Cowboys plus-6.5 at Patriots

Two-point best bet: Seahawks plus-2 at Eagles. I don't trust the Eagles' running game enough to take advantage of the flimsy Seattle defense. If it's close, Russell Wilson will find a way to cover (at least) or win outright (probably).

Past Winners: 2012 — Case Keefer; 2013 — Case Keefer, Ray Brewer (tie); 2014 — Case Keefer; 2015 — Case Keefer; 2016 — Ray Brewer; 2017 — Case Keefer, Jesse Granger (tie); 2018 — Case Keefer

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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